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All of these bets are to win .25 units. He faces a Tigers team that ranks dead last in both wRC+ and wOBA. (WV) If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Admittedly, this is the bet that I subjectively hate but the numbers are what they are and sticking with them is the process that I have to follow. Whats also exciting is that last years strikeout leader Robbie Ray switched teams over the offseason going from Toronto to Seattle which will probably help his cause to repeat as the AL East provides a much better slew of hitters than the AL West. The Giants forward thinking leadership should handle Rodons workload well so that makes me feel a little better. With high expectations for the White Sox in 2021, Giolito will get a chance to lead the . That said, the strategy here is to grab guaranteed innings and figure the strikeouts will follow. Marquez has crushed this number in 10 of his 13 starts this season, and hes recorded at least six strikeouts in six of his last eight starts. He has used his sinker 52% of the time this season. That second start was against the Miami Marlins, his opponent today. He has thrown over 100 pitches in three starts this season, and he has been over 95 pitches in each of his last six starts. With every MLB team playing on Friday night, our props analyst has found two plays worth tailing. Their projected lineup contains five hitters who have struck out over 25% of the time. He did sport the lowest K/9 of the top ten strikeout pitchers last season at 9.2 but he does have the capability to get this number up over 10 and possibly 11 K/9. Lucas Giolito -- RHP, White Sox2019 total: 228 / '20 total: 97. It seems hitters were starting to adjust and my models projected K% of about 25% reflects that. Additionally, the Braves' lineup has 2.3% more strikeouts than the typical MLB lineup. Shane Bieber -- RHP, Indians2019 total: 259 / '20 total: 122. Last updated Draftmanager.com has the best pitcher projections in the industry. I like him to limit the damage against a very good Mets team and go over 5.5 strikeouts today. RT @ActionNetworkHQ: Kevin Gausman (+550) is your strikeout leader for today @The_Oddsmaker projected him with the best odds Join our Discord and chat with Sean Koerner every day https://discord.gg/227cAmVz . (IN) If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9-WITH-IT.Indiana Self-Restriction Program. and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our. Thank you for reading and good luck with your bets today! June 1 Best MLB Strikeout Props Kevin Gausman Over 7.5 Ks (-106) (Bet $106 to collect $206) FanDuel has the best odds. Hes firmly overtaken Clayton Kershaw as the teams opening day starter which says a lot considering Kershaws excellent pitching throughout his career. Luis Castillo -- RHP, Reds2019 total: 226 / '20 total: 89. Make sure to use our PrizePicks bonus and Caesars promo code to begin betting baseball props now! **************************************************, Sign up for WagerTalk News Alerts and get Free Picks, Discounts and Get $15 Free towards any single purchase at WagerTalk. The matchup against Atlanta today is not as difficult as one might assume. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Whenever you have a chance to take the pitcher who quite literally has the highest strikeout-per-nine rate in Major League history, you do it. If we click on the "P/$" column header in the . We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Mondays baseball games. Lance Lynn -- RHP, White Sox2019 total: 246 / '20 total: 89. and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our. He faced this Mariners team less than two weeks ago and allowed 6 runs (5 earned) in only 4.2 innings, while recording 4 strikeouts. Privacy Policy and The juice is high on this line, but theres too much to like about German Marquezs chances today to pass on it. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please sign up. We have reached the midpoint of May, so I wanted to take a quick look at where we stand so far. RT @ActionNetworkHQ: Kevin Gausman (+550) is your strikeout leader for today @The_Oddsmaker projected him with the best odds Join our Discord and chat with Sean Koerner every day https://discord.gg/227cAmVz . All rights reserved. Read below for Tanner McGrath's three favorite props bets from Tuesday's MLB slate. He was blown up for eight runs against St. Louis in his seventh start. What are Player Props? Their projected lineup contains just 2 batters that have struck out over 21% of the time versus right-handed pitching this season. Before deGrom was injured last season he had 14.3 K/9. Glasnow's 100 mph fastball and 3,000 rpm curveball are such a dynamic 1-2 punch that he basically doesn't even need to throw anything else. I will also be on some of his alternate strikeout lines as we have seen him reach double-digits when he is at his best. This money will be tied up for over six months, and there will be plenty of opportunities elsewhere so no need to bet the board. Hes been moderately better at home, but he only hit seven strikeouts on eight of his 17 starts. I will take him under 5.5 strikeouts in this one. Remember: The return to a 162-game slate after last years shortened season likely will impact many pitchers health and performance across the board. Heck, only eight hitters went over this number in the infamous juiced-ball season of 2019. However, I dont expect this to be the case forever. And as always, dont wager more than you can afford to lose. If youre looking for the potential 2021 strikeout leader, the guy who just led the Majors isnt a bad place to start. Freeman hit 31 homers last season and was one of the more unlucky hitters in baseball as his wOBA was just .379 but his xwOBA came in at .416. Look for the 28-year-old to step up as the Reds' ace after Trevor Bauer's departure and post huge strikeout numbers this year. The split is closer this season than it has been in the past, but his strikeout rate is still 2% higher to righties this year. The biggest hindrance to Bauers chances of wearing the strikeout crown might be his new team. Jun 24, 2022, 04:35 PM EDT Download App With every MLB team playing on Friday night, our props analyst has found two plays worth tailing. Wood has been solid for the Giants with a 3.60 ERA and 23.4% strikeouts, but pitching Coors is one of the most difficult assignments for any starting pitcher. His ground ball rate is also back above league-average after seeing a dip last season. They have struck out at just 21.4% on the season. The spiraling Angels have seen the strikeout rise all the way up to 24.6% which ranks third-highest in baseball. Interested in placing a Strikeout prop bet? Since Gausman became a Giant in 2020, he focused on his good pitches (four-seam fastball and splitter) and theyre now both fantastic. His fastball velocity stayed consistent, and all five of his pitches featured whiff rates of at least 25% (including that nasty slider at 51%, nearly identical to 19), so he still missed plenty of bats. Pro Betting Tools, Made for Everyone: Try Action Labs For Just $49.99. Valdez also has a solid history against some of the Angels in this lineup. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Sure, Cole wasnt quite as dominant in Yankees pinstripes as he was the year prior with the Astros, but even he will be hard-pressed to equal that 2019 Houston level. Hunter Greene has 64 strikeouts in 48 innings pitched this season. Muncy has eclipsed this number three of his last four seasons and the one where he didnt reach it happened to be the COVID-shortened 2020 season. Pitching Status: Active Next NYM Game: 06-23 @ PHI Splits Games by Position: SP (12) News 6/20/2023 at 12:22 AM Scherzer stifles Astros with vintage slider 6/19/2023 at 11:25 PM Max Scherzer racks up 8 strikeouts in 8 innings 6/19/2023 at 8:10 PM Max Scherzer's outing against the Astros View More Videos Charts Zone Charts Loading. Walker Buehler is back in the drivers seat for the Dodgers as the teams #1 pitcher after Scherzers brief stint there last year. Nolas long leash should allow him to pitch deep into this game and go over 6.5 strikeouts. Max Scherzer -- RHP, Nationals2019 total: 243 / '20 total: 92. Betting analyst Keith Eyster gives his best MLB prop bets for today Monday, May 16, 2022. But Bauers impressive stuff cant be ignored, especially at the very end of our draft. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. A lot. His xERA sits at 3.06 and his xFIP is at 3.36. Pick Your Sportsbook DraftKings Mike Trout left yesterdays game after tweaking his groin and seems like he will miss some time. His strikeout rate jumps significantly when pitching in Houston, as he posted a 9.77 K/9 at home against a 7.17 K/9 on the road in 2021. You can mix and match. Action Labs Grade: 10/10. It is not all good news for Manaea as he gets a difficult matchup with the Mets today. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino is in a great spot to go over his 5.5 projected strikeouts vs. the Baltimore Orioles on Monday night. The Marlins are 24th this season in Weighted Splitter Runs Created (-3.0), and current Miami batters have struck out 21 times in 72 ABs against Walker lifetime (26.9%). Be sure to listen to these analysis and insights before placing your bets! Starting pitching is also improving as 17 total pitchers accumulated over 200 strikeouts with all but three averaging over 10 strikeouts every nine innings pitched (K/9). He pitched through the sixth inning in each of those starts. Call 1-800-522-4700. (But that's not stopping him from working on a new slider/cutter right now anyway.). Gerrit Cole -- RHP, Yankees2019 total: 326 / '20 total: 94. Sandy has been known to rack up strikeouts from time to time, along with posting 207 strikeouts a season ago. from our team of expert sports handicappers. This is especially true for sinkerballers like Wood. . However, in 2020, that number fell drastically to 18.4% but he found success. From 2018-20, Glasnow's K/9 increased from 11 to 11.3 to 14.3; his strikeout rate increased from 29.1% to 33% to 38.2%. Severino was up to 97 pitches in his last start where he struck out 8 Toronto batters over 4.2 innings. Only Alex Kiriloff has low strikeout numbers in the Twins' projected lineup. Castillo has one of the best pitch combos in the game with his fastball and changeup. Due to their depth and philosophy, the Dodgers havent had a pitcher throw more than 182 2/3 innings since Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke both topped 220 in 2015. Written by Michael Rathburn October 12, 2022 This article is part of our MLB Picks series. He has a 3.43 xERA and 3.10 xFIP, while the strikeouts still sit at an elite 30.6%. Last start was a good indicator he is close to being back to that guy. He increased his average launch angle, average exit velocity, and Barrel percentage in that time frame as well. Login Login Not a member? We have 16 games on the MLB schedule with the Phillies and Nationals playing a double-header. Privacy Policy and College Football Expert Picks & Predictions, Sandy Alcantara OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+110), Freddy Peralta OVER 7.5 Strikeouts (+120), STL @ NYM First Five Innings UNDER 4.5 (-135). 2022 MLB Regular Season Home Run Leader: Predictions, Picks and Odds, 2022 MLB Regular Season Stolen Base Leader: Predictions, Picks and Odds, Thanks for signing up! Weather looks mostly clear across the country, so we have 14 games to choose from. The MLB saw over 42,000 strikeouts last season for only the second time ever as more players are swinging for home runs. Other Potential Picks: He did sport the lowest K/9 of the top ten strikeout pitchers last season at 9.2 but he does have the capability to get this number up over 10 and possibly 11 K/9. The below-average strikeout rate, relatively short leash and difficult matchup should keep Thompson under 3.5 strikeouts today. Variance is a real thing in baseball and 40 home runs would be incredibly impressive for a hitter who just turned 23 in March. If you adjust his PAs to match a full season, his home run total would have been around 28.5. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. For the year, Rodon owns a 30.6% strikeout rate despite that stretch where he was dealing with a dip in velocity. Contactthe Nevada Council on Problem Gambling or call 1-800-522-4700. Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips? Manaea owns a 3.77 ERA that is supported by a 3.50 SIERA and 3.47 xFIP. The Giants send Carlos Rodon to the mound for his 13th start of the year. (NJ) Bet with your head, not over it! He'll make the most out of his volume and post a gaudy strikeout total in 2021. The Orioles have struck out at a 24.5% clip this season, the 7th-highest rate in the league. You can mix and match. You can mix and match. Peralta has pitched to a 4.40 ERA in his first six starts, but underlying metrics indicate he has been quite a bit better than that. The skill is there, now lets see if he can get to 150 innings and cruise past this number. His SIERA is a much more respectable 3.82, and the 3.75 xFIP is even more favorable. Try selecting a different location. Even if he doesnt, his baseline easily feels like 240-275 Ks. We were able to identify four strikeout props to target: Just a reminder, make sure to check out the rest of our FREE betting advice under our news section! Severino is in the 66th percentile in strikeout percentage, and his fastball velocity has been fantastic this season. He has never been a big strikeout guy and today he takes on the Nationals who have the fifth-lowest strikeout rate in baseball at 19.9%. But there are some concerning underlying statistics. Thanks for signing up! MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 9/23/22.

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